If the events in Ukraine are to appear as more than a series of disconnected events, you really must take the long view. So if you want to understand why it looked last night as though war was about to break out in the Crimea, perhaps take a look at this piece of analysis by Stratfor. It's a company that focuses on geography and history to explain what is happening in the world. Stratfor makes its money by signing up paying subscribers, but makes some of its work freely available. The book from which this is taken, The next hundred years, is also worth reading.
Sorry everyone Gideon's talk is Monday 11th March NOT this Wednesday.
With mainstream parties reeling from UKIP's performance at the Eastleigh by-election they will be poring over polling data.
But it is only a snapshot of the moment. Opinion polling is not a crystal ball. Gideon will give us an insight into how the pollsters collect the data and crunch the numbers.
I've heard Gideon and we are in for a treat.
So see you in the Gillingham newsroom 1pm Monday 11th March.